Michael Burry 认为 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 借 AI 末日恐惧保护在位者、推高 IPO 热度,并称当前 LLM 不会走向 AGI,因此不存在值得刻意放缓的危险智能轨迹。他还指出,要求昂贵评估、安全系统、报告、审计与政府审批的监管,对大实验室成本相对低、对小实验室却可能构成准入门槛,从而保护头部实验室免受快速崛起的竞争者冲击。
Michael Burry thinks OpenAI and Anthropic are using AI doomsday fears to protect incumbents and inflate IPO hype.
argues current LLMs will not become AGI, so there is no dangerous intelligence trajectory worth deliberately slowing.
Burry is arguing that a broadly imposed slowdown could protect today's leading labs from fast-rising competitors
If a regulation is passed requiring expensive evaluations, security systems, reporting, audits, and government approval may cost a giant lab relatively little compared with a small lab. The regulation can therefore become an entry barrier even if everyone is technically allowed to keep developing.
He also says warnings that AI could become catastrophically powerful inflate perceptions of the companies’ importance before public listings and could provide cover for slowing growth.
来源:@rohanpaul_ai · x.com