SemiAnalysis 讨论特朗普任期内 AI 监管前景,认为在其任内出现 AI 监管的可能性大于不出现。推文引述观点称,顾问团队可能因认可 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 的诚意而警觉,也可能因任内发生严重事件被迫出手。预计会先推出初步监管框架,类似贸易协议,先立框架再逐步完善,以便在选举时宣称率先监管了 AI。
Regulating AI matters. On either side of the table, the question is no longer whether it happens. It is who gets to say they did it first.
"I think it's totally possible Trump regulates AI too."
"There is a world where the advisors really internalize that OpenAI and Anthropic are being genuine, and they start to get scared. That's one possibility. And then there is another possibility where something really bad actually happens during his term and it forces his hand. I think these are both possible."
"I would actually bet that we see AI regulation during Trump's term. I think it's more likely than not."
"They are going to make a preliminary framework to begin the regulated process of AI. It's like a trade deal. This is our first framework, and then they'll refine it afterward. But that way, come election time, they'll be like, we regulated AI. We are the first ones to do it."
来源:@SemiAnalysis_ · x.com