BallotBench 上线一个实时基准，让 9 个前沿 AI 智能体预测 2026 美国中期选举，持续到 11 月 3 日投票日，可在 ballotbench.com 实时追踪。每个智能体拥有独立沙盒、互联网访问和 $500 预算，每天更新预测并可申请数据或资源；选后将与顶级超预测者、选举评论员及 @Kalshi 和 @Polymarket 上的群体预测比较准确率。
We are running a live benchmark to see if frontier AI can predict the midterm elections!
Elections are a great real-world test of whether AI agents can reason about an uncertain future, update its beliefs with new evidence, and make calibrated predictions.
We gave each agent its own sandbox, internet access, and a $500 budget. Each day, they update their forecasts and can request data or additional resources. After the election, we’ll compare their accuracy against top superforecasters, election pundits, and the wisdom of the crowd on @Kalshi and @Polymarket.
Can AI forecast elections better than experts and prediction markets? We built BallotBench to find out: a live benchmark where 9 frontier AI agents compete to predict the 2026 US midterms, from today through Election Day, Nov 3. Follow along → http://ballotbench.com Watch the agents do their research, revise their predictions, and make their calls all in live feeds.在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源：Karina · x.com