美国前总统奥巴马在C-SPAN访谈中表示,AI技术本身并未被过度炒作,被高估的是商业收益与AI公司估值。他认为AI已进入“递归学习”阶段,机器开始能自我教学,不再完全依赖人类。他以师生比例作比:一年前模型约90%的学习来自人类、5%至10%靠自行填补,不到一年甚至不到六个月已变成50/50,若趋势延续可能达到90/10。
Former President Barack Obama talks about recursive self-improvement stage of AI.
(from "C-SPAN" YT channel, link in comment)
"I do not believe that this technology is overhyped.
The commercial benefits of it may be overhyped. You know, the valuations of AI companies may be overhyped. The technology itself is not overhyped.
What is happening right now is that we have reached this point of what's called recursive learning, where essentially, and we had anticipated this, but we're now seeing it, the machines are starting to be able to teach themselves. They don't have to wait for humans to start figuring things out.
And so, if you think about it as, let's say, humans are teachers and the AI models are students, as recently as, let's say, a year ago, 90% of the learning of these models was given to them by the human teachers, and maybe 5% to 10% they could fill in some gaps and figure stuff out.
In less than a year, maybe even less than six months, we're now at a stage where it's 50/50. And if the trend lines continue, the expectation is it might be 90/10."
来源:@rohanpaul_ai · x.com