马斯克预测 AI 的下一个主要瓶颈将是电力。他表示限制 AI 的因素此前是芯片,现在仍是芯片,之后会转向电力设备——需要大量变压器把 30 万伏电压逐级降到 400 伏供计算机使用,而变压器行业不习惯需求剧变。等变压器短缺解决后,根本性的发电短缺就会到来,且很快将至。
ELON MUSK: AI’s next major bottleneck will be electricity.
“A few years ago, I made a very obvious prediction, which is that the limitation on AI will be chips, and it's still chips kind of chips today, then it will be electrical equipment, because you need to take power at that might be at 300,000 volts, all the way down to 400 volts for the computer.
So you need to step down transformers and a lot of them and a lot of cabling and wiring and fuses. And it's a lot of transformers, essentially, and the electrical transformer industry is not used to big changes in demand. And then as we solve the transformer shortage, there will be the fundamental electricity generation shortage. We're getting there soon.”
来源:@cb_doge · x.com