ChatGPT Ads 在不到 200 天内年化收入达到 10 亿美元,试点 6 周时突破 1 亿美元。OpenAI 为 2026 年给出的广告收入预测为 24 亿美元,并预计 2027 年近 110 亿美元、2030 年 1020 亿美元,其预测假设每用户广告收入从今年的近 3.50 美元升至 2030 年的近 60 美元。
原文给出 ChatGPT Ads 的收入数字与多年预测,可据此观察 OpenAI 广告业务的实际推进节奏。
ChatGPT Ads reached a $1B annualized revenue run rate in under 200 days, after crossing $100M just 6 weeks into the pilot.
OpenAI's also gave $2.4B ad-revenue forecast for 2026 under serious pressure, since earlier months were running far below today's pace.
The longer-range expectations are even steeper: OpenAI reportedly projects nearly $11B in ad revenue for 2027 and $102B by 2030.
OpenAI’s forecast assumes ad revenue per user rises from nearly $3.50 this year to nearly $60 by 2030. It very much has a plausible route there because users often state the goal and constraints behind a purchase decision across several conversational turns, giving the ad system richer intent than a single query or feed impression.
OpenAI says tens of thousands of advertisers now use ChatGPT Ads across more than 40 countries, with self-service access expanding across India, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa.
to note, ChatGPT itself now exceeds 1B weekly active users, while advertising remains limited to the Free and Go tiers.
Also there is a hard commercial boundary on the business. OpenAI can use conversational context to select relevant ads, but the advertisers cannot access private conversations and paid placement cannot alter the answer itself.
来源:@rohanpaul_ai · x.com