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@rohanpaul_ai· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 21 天前AI 评分55
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Figure 可能找到机器人预训练的缩放定律:固定模型和任务训练、增加 Index 数据量后,动作预测损失会以清晰可预测的方式下降。较小规模运行几乎准确预测了 8 倍数据量的运行,机器人公司可在投入全部算力前估计数据翻倍带来的收益。

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Figure may have found a scaling rule for robot pretraining: keep the model and task training fixed, add more Index data (Figure's large pretraining dataset of human behavior)
> and action-prediction loss falls in a clean, predictable way.

the smaller runs predicted the 8x-data run almost exactly, i.e. a robotics company can estimate what another doubling of human-behavior data will buy before spending the compute on the full run.

should make robot training less trial-and-error and more like LLM scaling, although the curve predicts action loss, not real-world task success.

so it does not yet prove equally predictable gains in robot reliability.

引用@rohanpaul_ai@rohanpaul_ai
Figure just released this video. a beautiful robot future is indeed coming. Its Helix 2.5 model (Figure’s end-to-end robotics brain) lifted zero-shot household-task success more than sixfold across 30 unseen homes. Figure also reports success rising from 9% to 56%, with success requiring the entire task to be completed and no partial credit awarded.
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来源:@rohanpaul_ai · x.com