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@EpochAIResearch· @EpochAIResearch · X·· 2026-09-05AI 评分40
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走私HBM能缩小多少差距?假设华为2028年走私的HBM达到其国内供应量的10倍,这一流量大到不切实际,成本至少400亿美元。其2028年产量将从100万升至约1100万H100等效算力,仍仅为英伟达当年产量的11%。

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How much would smuggling HBM close the gap? Suppose Huawei smuggled in 10× its domestic HBM supply for 2028, an implausibly large flow costing at least $40 billion. Its 2028 output would rise from 1M to about 11M H100-equivalents, still only 11% of Nvidia's production that year.

来源:@EpochAIResearch · x.com