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AI 2027 作者:如果我们不慢下来,AI 很可能会接管(3 分之 2 的概率)
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AI 2027 AUTHOR: if we don't slow down, AI will probably take over (2 in 3 chance)
My current view: - AI companies could develop broadly superhuman AI any year now (~10-15% by EO2027, ~50% by EO2030). - If they don't slow down, AI takeover is ~67%. - Conditional on AI takeover, human extinction is ~40%. Many non-extinction worlds still have lots of deaths.在 X 查看被引用的帖子
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