Dario reiterates in his latest article: Powerful AI ("AGI") is coming in 2028.

As a reminder, here's what he said about it in Machines of Loving Grace:

"Powerful AI" describes a system that is not just better than humans at individual tasks, but smarter than top experts across most important domains, able to reason, create, code, research, and act autonomously through digital interfaces.

and

"A country of geniuses in a datacenter" means that millions of these highly capable AI agents could run in parallel, working faster than humans and collaborating like an entire nation of Nobel-level experts compressed into computing infrastructure.

In the latest blogpost they write:

"When US frontier labs release new models in 2028 that achieve step-function advances in capabilities (similar to the relative impact of Mythos Preview in April 2026)"