AI 导读
既然 METR 长时程基准实际上已经饱和（Epoch 发现 pre-Fable 智能体可以完成 18 周的人类工作），那么展示当前指数级进步曲线的最佳量化图表是哪一张？ Frontier Math 已饱和，ARC-AGI 已饱和，千禧年大奖难题则……
正文
Now that METR long horizons is effectively saturated (Epoch found pre-Fable agents could do 18 weeks of human work), what is the best quantitative graph that shows the current exponential progress curve?
Frontier Math is saturated, ARC-AGI is saturated, Millennium Prize is...
来源：@emollick · x.com