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@SemiAnalysis_· @SemiAnalysis_ · X·· 2026-08-22AI 评分43
AI 导读

成熟制程拐点确认,三星与台积电退出8英寸晶圆产能,AI 将 PMIC、BCD 电源和硅电容需求拉入同一批 specialty 晶圆厂,三年价格下跌终结。DB HiTek 营业利润率因疫后首次涨价跳升 6pp,PSMC 受益 DRAM 晶圆价格上调 45%,UMC 通知客户 7 月起涨价约 10%,华虹与台积电持续涨价至 2027 年,非台积电厂商毛利环比增 30%。

正文

The mature node inflection we called in May is confirmed, and it is a supply story. Samsung and TSMC exit 8-inch wafer capacity, while AI pulls PMIC, BCD power, and silicon capacitor demand into the same specialty fabs. Three years of price erosion ended. DB HiTek's operating margin jumped 6pp on its first post-COVID hikes, PSMC rides a 45% DRAM wafer price adjustment, UMC notified customers of roughly 10% increases from July, and Hua Hong and TSMC keep raising through 2027. Non-TSMC gross profit rose 30% q/q on those hikes. Silicon photonics is the other driver, with co-packaged optics pulling the optical path into the package. Tower raised its 2028 model to $3.6B revenue and $1.2B net profit with SiPh at a $680M annualized run rate (2x q/q), and UMC's board put nearly $5B into SiPh and advanced packaging. (4/6)

来源:@SemiAnalysis_ · x.com