AI 导读
事情发展得相当快。 2025年9月被问到时，最优秀的超级预测者认为AI在2026年9月前解决一个千禧年数学难题的概率为1.7%，而（更乐观的）行业专家给出的概率是4.6%。 他们也大大低估了AI实验室的营收。
正文
Stuff is happening quite fast.
When asked in September 2025, the best superforecasters put the chance of AI resolving a Millennium Problem by September 2026 at 1.7% and (the more optimistic) industry expert put the chance at 4.6%
They also greatly underestimated AI Lab revenue. https://t.co/9HCR0lvXJQ
来源：@emollick · x.com