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@rohanpaul_ai· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 26 天前精选AI 评分65
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Anthropic 经济学团队分享了一个新模型,用于推演 AI 到 2030 年如何影响经济增长、就业和工资,并开放情景探索与问卷结果对比。

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Anthropic 经济学团队用情景模型推演 AI 对 2030 年增长与就业的影响,读者可据此看清极端情景的假设条件。

正文

Anthropic: "In the extreme scenario, AI is more productive than humans at the vast majority of knowledge-work tasks. It does nearly all of them autonomously, and it creates essentially no new knowledge tasks for people.

This scenario would likely require recursively self-improving AI, adopted quickly for knowledge work.

As AI diffuses, annual GDP growth rates reach 15% a year, leading the economy to double in size every 4.5 years. As a society, we’re far richer than we’ve ever been, but many fewer workers have jobs in knowledge work, and unemployment has risen beyond typical recessionary levels."

引用@AnthropicAI@AnthropicAI
Anthropic’s Economics team is sharing a new model of how AI might affect economic growth, jobs, wages, and more by 2030. Explore the scenarios, tell us what you think will happen, and see how your answers compare to more than 10,000 Americans. https://t.co/AvQlEZNxR0
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来源:@rohanpaul_ai · x.com