Ethan Mollick 认为 GPT-6 Astra 和 Fable 5.1 已足以在大量经济领域产生变革性影响,在适当引导下能可靠完成数周的人类工作量。这种变化不会一次性发生且分布不均,但无论前沿模型发展节奏如何都不可避免。他强调需开发并分享增强而非仅替代人类劳动的 AI-人类协作模式,实验室、企业和政策制定者都应参与其中。
I cannot emphasize enough how much GPT-6 Astra and Fable 5.1 are already enough for transformative impact in large sections of the economy. They can reliably do weeks worth of human work when properly guided & harnessed.
Those effects will not be all at once and be uneven, but the fact that change will occur is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced. But inevitable change does not mean the type of change is inevitable. It is increasingly important that we develop & share models of AI-human work that enhance, rather than only replace, human labor. The labs have a role to play in doing this, but so do companies and industries experimenting with AI adoption, as well as policy makers who can incentivize this sort of inplemenation.
This work is important regardless of existential risk, and needs a lot more focus.
来源:@emollick · x.com