作者质疑 Anthropic 资深开发者因 AI 风险离职的论据,认为其担忧充满假设。他指出目前看到的只是 AI 可被滥用、行为有时出人意料、以及各国正展开全球竞赛,这些虽属实,却不足以构成如此具体而重大的危险。他认为人类面对生存威胁总能找到存续之道,如核武器,而 AI 不可控导致人类灭绝的结论缺乏科学依据,并呼吁提供扎实理由或论文。
This post, too, leaves me more puzzled than enlightened. The concerns about the potential havoc AI might wreak are so heavily laden with hypotheticals that I seriously wonder how senior developers at Anthropic could succumb to this modern form of AI psychosis.
To reiterate: so far, all I’m reading is that AI 1) can be misused, 2) sometimes behaves in ways that defy expectations, and 3) is the subject of a global race between nations.
All of that is certainly true. Yet, I fail to see how this translates into a danger so significant and tangible that these people would quit their jobs. On the contrary: humanity has always found ways to ensure its survival when facing existential threats (take nuclear weapons, for instance). The only difference here is that AI is an entity alleged to be - at least in part - uncontrollable. However, I still see no scientific basis for the conclusion (or argument) that this could lead to humanity’s extinction.
Again: if anyone has solid reasons or papers on this, please send them my way. Otherwise, it remains a mystery to me.
来源:@kimmonismus · x.com