据 FT,高盛认为五大数据中心州由民主党掌控可能影响美国计划扩建的 45%,而其一个月前还称政治反对未改变 2027 年前的增长预期。Anthropic 修订后的 IPO 文件列出的算力与基础设施承诺约 $895.4B,其中约 $447.5B 预计在 2030 年底前投入,约 $451B 为已签但未开工的租约,建设冻结可能影响已签约的产能。
原文汇集了中期选举对数据中心扩张的影响和 Anthropic 的算力承诺数字,便于读者评估政策风险对算力供给的实际传导。
FT: Goldman Sachs now reckons Democratic control of the 5 leading data centre states could affect 45% of planned US expansion, only a month after it said political opposition had left its growth outlook through 2027 largely unchanged.
Anthropic’s amended IPO filing puts its compute and infrastructure commitments at about $895.4B, including about $447.5B expected before the end of 2030, a total the original October filing left blank.
Roughly $451B of that sits in signed leases that haven’t commenced, so a construction freeze could hold up capacity Anthropic has already contracted rather than simply protect what it holds.
Goldman and Visible Alpha estimate hyperscaler capex climbing from about $0.46T in 2025 to about $0.92T in 2026, then about $1.5T in 2027 and about $1.75T by 2030, across Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Oracle, SpaceX and CoreWeave.
来源:Rohan Paul · x.com