AI 导读
Ethan Mollick 回顾其 2024 年首本 AI 书出版时,最强 AI 能以 50% 成功率完成 4 分钟的人类工作;今年初交出 Co-Existence 草稿时为 17 小时,该书两天前出版时已达 17 周。附图引用 METR Time Horizon 数据及估算来源,并注明超过 16 小时后 METR 称其测量结果不可靠。
正文
When my first AI book was published in 2024, the best AI could do 4 minutes of human work with a 50% chance of success
When I turned in the draft of Co-Existence earlier this year, it was 17 hours
When it was published two days ago, AI could do 17 weeks https://open.substack.com/pub/oneusefulthing/p/30-months-on-the-exponential-in-charts?r=i5f7&utm_medium=ios
来源:Ethan Mollick · x.com