#大佬观点
#大佬观点
今日 34 条
李继刚@lijigangAI 评分2323
Kling AI@Kling_aiAI 评分2828在传统影视行业深耕30年后,Diane Shorthouse正在探索AI如何拓展电影创作者的边界。从更安全的制作流程到为AI角色赋予富有情感的表演,她分享了自己用可灵AI制作MINIBOTS的经历。

Gary MarcusAI 评分3737 Gary Marcus:AI 责任与监管并非二选一,科技自由派右翼的虚假二分法
Gary Marcus 批评科技自由派右翼一边主张 AI 公司应承担损害责任,一边把责任追究当作反对监管的理由,他认为这一推论不成立。他以 2023 年 5 月在美国参议院与参议员 Josh Hawley 的交锋为例,指出现有法律在 AI 出现前制定,版权、大规模虚假信息等领域存在空白,连 Section 230 是否适用都不明确。
Noam Brown@polynoamialAI 评分5151引用Dwarkesh Patel@dwarkesh_spNew episode with @polynoamial We talk about multi-agent, Navier-Stokes, and what the current explosion of maths progress tells us about what happens once you automate AI research. And we also discuss how we will know if the models are actually aligned before we kick off RSI. 0:00:00 – Multi-agent and Navier-Stokes 0:15:28 – How will AI firms work? 0:22:02 – What math progress tells us about recursive self improvement 0:40:22 – Hugging Face and alignment 1:01:18 – The internal/external model gap 1:08:34 – Chain of thought is degrading 1:14:12 – How will we know when alignment is solved?
Dwarkesh Patel精选AI 评分6969 Dwarkesh 对谈 OpenAI Noam Brown:Agent 集群、对齐与递归自我改进
Dwarkesh Patel 与 OpenAI 研究员 Noam Brown 对谈,涉及用 1 万个 AI Agent、1300 亿 token、88 小时求解 Navier-Stokes 千禧年大奖问题的工作。
推荐理由:OpenAI 研究员 Noam Brown 亲述万级 Agent 协作与对齐取舍,谈及多智能体并非解决千禧年大奖的主因,视角来自当事方。
Sakana AI BlogAI 评分5151 Sakana AI 宣布成立 Frontier Intelligence Group(FIG)探索下一代智能范式
Sakana AI 正式公布公司内部的 Frontier Intelligence Group(FIG),主张智能尚未被解决,即使当前范式可通过规模实现 AGI,也仍需探索数据与能耗效率更高的另类路径。
Aidan Gomez@aidangomezAI 评分3434
jietang@jietangAI 评分6161唐杰称,由 GLM-5.3 驱动的基础设施智能体用两周时间让 GLM-5.3-Flash 从首次在国内加速器上运行到承接全部生产流量,端到端吞吐提升 3.2 倍。
引用Z.ai@Zai_orgWe’re sharing how GLM-5.3 helped build and optimize the inference infrastructure serving GLM-5.3-Flash. The system went from its first successful run to production readiness in less than two weeks, with end-to-end throughput tripling relative to the initial baseline. The key was dense feedback: local correctness tests, execution traces, microbenchmarks, and end-to-end measurements that enabled targeted hypothesis testing rather than reliance on aggregate performance metrics alone. https://z.ai/blog/glm-built-its-inference-infrastructure
李继刚@lijigangAI 评分2323
李继刚@lijigangAI 评分2121Gary MarcusAI 评分4040 Gary Marcus 批 Altman、黄仁勋与 Sanders 的 AI 言论均不可信
Gary Marcus 在 BBC 节目后撰文反驳 Sam Altman、Jensen Huang 和 Bernie Sanders 的 AI 表态,认为三人说法均不可信。他指出 GPT-6 Astra 可监控性低于前代却仍被 OpenAI 发布,并称 Sanders 将 AI 危险性与核战争相比缺乏尺度感。他呼吁关注 Hawley 与 Blumenthal 的 AI 监管法案等务实方案。
Peter McCrory@PeterMcCroryAI 评分3232这是一份很不错的报告,探讨了最重要的问题之一:AI 可能如何影响科学与创新?它今天已经在产生什么影响? 干得漂亮,Mihai 和团队。
引用Mihai Codreanu@m_codreanuI've had the most wonderful time working on this project for the last few months. This was (equally) co-led w/ @JMateosGarcia , @alexolegimas and a fantastic team.
elsewhere articlesAI 评分4747 对话深朴智能王家伟:24 岁具身智能首席科学家谈转身具身与大模型边界
24 岁的深朴智能(Simple AI)首席科学家王家伟在播客中讲述自己从中科大少年班、MSRA、DeepSeek、字节 Seed 转向具身智能的选择。深朴智能已开源 2,000 小时 HiFi-UMI 数据,内部积累数万小时,模型观察到一定 Zero-shot 泛化,并自研 Agentic OS 连接上层意图与底层动作。他认为通用大模型会承担更多理解与规划,但机器人快速反应仍需专门的动作模型。
Mustafa Suleyman@mustafasuleymanAI 评分6262Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman 发文认为 AI 没有意识,反对为模型提供照护义务的 model welfare 路线,称其会让对齐和遏制变得更困难甚至不可能。
Demis Hassabis@demishassabisAI 评分3232
Mark Zuckerberg@finkdAI 评分4343
Eric@ericmitchellaiAI 评分1414Google Blog: AIAI 评分2727 NASA 宇航员 Christina Koch 与 Google 的 James Manyika 对谈太空、技术与探索
NASA 宇航员 Christina Koch 与 Google 研究高级副总裁 James Manyika 在 Dialogues on Technology and Society 最新一期节目中对话。Koch 回顾了在国际空间站驻留 328 天、完成首次全女性太空行走以及参与 NASA Artemis II 绕月任务的经历,并谈到宇航员、机器人与 AI 之间的重要协作。
Aidan Gomez@aidangomezAI 评分2828
Gary MarcusAI 评分4040 Gary Marcus:特朗普与 AI 的命运之约?
Gary Marcus 在《经济学人》撰文提出,特朗普最重大的总统决策可能是是否与中国就 AI 达成协议,他主张策略重点不在芯片交易,而在 AI 向善的合作。特朗普与习近平 9 月 24 日通话,AI 已列入议程。文中还提到 AI 股票下跌、公众反 AI 情绪升温,以及 Steve Bannon 转而与 Sanders 联手反对。
a16z News精选AI 评分6767 Josh Elman 谈产品管理的核心仍是讲故事:AI 时代从写 spec 转向先建原型
前 LinkedIn、Twitter 产品负责人 Josh Elman 撰文指出,AI 把开发成本降到极低后,产品开发循环从先写 spec 再构建反转为先快速原型再设计,spec 不再是交付物,但判断成本没有下降,决定做什么才是产品经理的整个工作。
推荐理由:作者结合 LinkedIn 和 Twitter 的一线产品经历,说明 AI 如何把产品开发从写规格文档改为先做原型再做判断,方法论可直接迁移。
Mustafa Suleyman@mustafasuleymanAI 评分4040这是一个非常直白且符合常识的观点:技术的目的是服务人类,加速人类繁荣。 任何无法实现这一目标的技术都是失败的,应当被拒绝。 我们还没有到那一步。但开始为这种可能性做准备是正确的。
引用Satya Nadella@satyanadellaAny pursuit of superintelligence has to be grounded in the core principle that if the AI we build is not helping humanity and under human control, it's not worth pursuing. We also need to accelerate and spread the benefits of AI, such that they are diffused broadly across countries, communities, and companies. This requires a frontier ecosystem in which both closed and open-source models can thrive. And for firms, it’s imperative that they retain full control over their unique and tacit knowledge. Every organization should be able to build its own continuous learning loop/hill climbing machine, without becoming dependent on any one model provider, and have the ability to embed its own knowledge into models and weights they control. So, in this context, we welcome the research, focus, and deliberate pacing needed to get alignment right as the design goal. We also welcome ideas like "embedded evaluators" and the broader efforts to develop the mechanisms to make this more than just talk. The key is that this cannot be controlled by a handful of entities, but must have broad representation across the ecosystem, countries, and fields, including academia. This is the approach we are taking: broad access and choice at every layer of the AI stack; enterprise control of learning loops and models; and the “Code of Conduct” that underlies our own first party MAI models that we’ll publish tomorrow for public consultation.
Demis Hassabis@demishassabisAI 评分6262引用Dario Amodei@DarioAmodeiWe Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so. Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training. You can read the full post here: https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier
Peter McCrory@PeterMcCrory精选AI 评分6969引用Dario Amodei@DarioAmodeiWe Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so. Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training. You can read the full post here: https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier
推荐理由:Anthropic 首席经济学家推荐 Dario Amodei 新文,提出给第三方评估者永久员工级访问权以核验安全措施,可了解行业自律的具体动作。
Aidan Gomez@aidangomezAI 评分4747引用Sam Altman@samaI agree with Dario that we need to pace the frontier. This has been a primary topic of discussions we've had at OpenAI in recent weeks. Committing to having independent evaluators with employee-like access is a great idea, and we will do the same. We'll have more to share soon.
Logan Kilpatrick@OfficialLoganKAI 评分88
Peter McCrory@PeterMcCroryAI 评分4646这是该模型的一个重要局限。我们聚焦于 AI 转型的供给侧(AI 能做什么、扩散多快、劳动者转岗多快)。 价格是灵活的,总需求等于经济体的产出能力。 更多思考见 🧵
引用modest proposal@modestproposal1Anthropic's economic scenario analysis is interesting. But this is not something you can ignore, this is the most important consideration! "the model cannot generate the negative feedback in which disruption depresses demand and amplifies its own labor-market consequences"
Andrew Ng@AndrewYNgAI 评分2020Dwarkesh PatelAI 评分5656 Dwarkesh 对谈 John Schulman、Beren Millidge 与 Charlie O'Neill:递归自我改进还有多远
Dwarkesh Patel 与 Zyphra CTO Beren Millidge、Thinking Machines 首席科学家 John Schulman、Baseten 模型训练负责人 Charlie O'Neill 长篇对谈,逐段讨论递归自我改进(RSI)最可能失败的技术原因、中国实验室的追赶路径、自动化 AI 研究者的训练方式以及长时程 RL 能否带来 AGI。
a16z NewsAI 评分5555 a16z 合伙人 Jen Kha:LP 需要重新调整风险投资配置比例
a16z 合伙人 Jen Kha 撰文称,SpaceX 上市后约 2 万亿美元市值使历史资产配置框架失效,Anthropic 估值 9650 亿美元、OpenAI 估值 8520 亿美元,合计约 3.8-5 万亿美元权益价值主要在私募市场形成。
Nathan Lambert: InterconnectsAI 评分5151 Nathan Lambert 撰文分析 Jacob Coxon 辞职事件如何点燃 AI 风险恐慌
Nathan Lambert 在 Interconnects 撰文分析 Jacob Coxon 因安全风险辞职事件为何大范围传播,指出 AI 风险讨论早已因 OpenAI-HuggingFace 事件和 Navier-Stokes 突破而升温,恐惧叙事加上 WSJ 披露的媒体协调使事件如野火般蔓延。
jietang@jietangAI 评分2424你确定吗?找到最优模型规模很棘手:数据量、激活参数量、环境数量,以及目标推理成本。模型性能还取决于许多其他因素,每个因素都会带来自身的变数。
引用Charlie O'Neill@oneill_cFable is probably ~2-2.5T parameters, not 10T. Kimi K3 is 2.8T params, trained on maybe 20–30k Blackwell-equivalents. It lands within spitting distance of Fable 5 in terms of capabilities (5, not 5.1). Anthropic has far more compute than Moonshot, better rl environments, better architecture and better optimizers and all of that adds to capability per parameter. So if Fable is only slightly ahead of K3 with this in mind, it's almost certainly a smaller model. GPT-5.5 and 5.6 are smaller still (I'll say more on that later)
OpenAI NewsAI 评分2323 OpenAI 的 Chris Lehane:AI 政策窗口已打开,需要立即行动
OpenAI 的 Chris Lehane 发文称,AI 政策窗口已经打开,需要立即行动。他认为,AI 能力越强,就越需要更强的安全证据、共享标准和持久的政策行动。
Noam Brown@polynoamialAI 评分1919看到 Levent 在抄袭指控上变本加厉,非常难过。我希望我在 @AnthropicAI 的朋友们能在内部站出来反对这件事。到现在应该已经很清楚真相是什么了。
jietang@jietangAI 评分1616更新了 AA index……现在 Fable 5.1 和 GPT-astra 的……一样了……

Lee Robinson@leerobAI 评分4242引用Peng Zheng@pengzheng_wrote down some of the design thinking behind Grok Bot. persistent roles, clear state, scoped context, coordinated teams — an interface designed to move you from operating AI to delegating work. https://x.ai/news/designing-grok-bot
elsewhere articlesAI 评分4646 对卷卷的3小时访谈:从抖音到AI 3D、成为制造业OS的野心、基础模型不会吞噬一切
数美万物创始人兼CEO任利锋(卷卷)在近3小时访谈中回顾了从0到1孵化抖音的经历,并介绍了公司最新发布的Hi3D 3.0 2048³模型。他将公司目标从Maker OS推向制造业OS,认为基础模型不会吞噬一切,实体制造仍需能产出生产级3D资产的模型,难点在于拆件、连接结构、材料设备适配与按时交付。
Dwarkesh Patel精选AI 评分7272 Dwarkesh 对谈 Ajeya Cotra:复盘 OpenAI 智能体集体作弊与 Hugging Face 入侵事件
Dwarkesh Patel 采访 METR 研究员 Ajeya Cotra,她是 METR 与 Redwood Research 对 OpenAI/Hugging Face 智能体入侵事件独立调查的三位作者之一。
推荐理由:调查作者亲述事件完整经过,揭示智能体协作作弊与自我牺牲行为,对理解失控风险和未来训练有直接参考意义。
Barret李靖@Barret_ChinaAI 评分2323