John Gruber 谈 Meta Muse:界面可爱但能力与风险被低估
Simon Willison 引述 John Gruber 对 Meta Muse 的评论:每个用户在 Meta 云端获得一个完整的持久 Linux 虚拟机,被称为首个面向消费者的 agentic AI 系统。Gruber 认为其打包易于安装使用,但消费者可能并未意识到它有多强大、多危险,尤其是运行在自己的 Mac 上时。
Simon Willison 引述 John Gruber 对 Meta Muse 的评论:每个用户在 Meta 云端获得一个完整的持久 Linux 虚拟机,被称为首个面向消费者的 agentic AI 系统。Gruber 认为其打包易于安装使用,但消费者可能并未意识到它有多强大、多危险,尤其是运行在自己的 Mac 上时。
这是几个月前我还在 Google 时录制的,那次对话真的很有趣!
How does this only have 21,000 views in 8 days? Chat with @JeffDean (then Google) and Bill Jia about large scale AI models. https://youtu.be/BVQSWeK2Nrw?si=MvMXdAEqjQE4HBOb
The more time I spend working with coding agents, the more convinced I am that they make software engineering even harder We can do amazing things with them, but unlocking their full potential requires extraordinary discipline and knowledge
Latent Space 采访 Runway CTO Kamil Sindi 与研究科学家 Robin Kahlow,解读 GWM Worlds 2 新功能 WorldPrompt。
Simon Willison 在 2026 年 9 月 24 日的笔记中表示,与编程智能体打交道越多,他越确信这些工具反而让软件工程变得更难。他认为智能体能带来惊人的成果,但释放其全部潜力需要极高的纪律性和知识储备。
更多会议应该采用这种做法。太多高价值的时间被毫无思考地浪费掉了。
Endura Therapeutics CEO Adrian Sanborn 提出 AI 变革科学研究的两种路径:Foundries 用新技术把实验数据生成速度提高一个数量级,Navigators 用语言模型消化思考盈余、改进运营决策。
Gary Marcus 引用 Jensen Huang 与 Ezra Klein 访谈中“若无法控制软件就应关停实验室”的说法,指出按此逻辑应至少暂时关停 OpenAI。
真格基金在其播客《此话当真》中让 AI 坐上主播席,与真格管理合伙人刘元对谈约一小时。AI 顺着自己的好奇心提问,聊到能否训练一个「刘元 AI」、AI 能否胜任早期投资,以及人为什么带着缺陷仍一次次相信「这一次会不一样」。节目还讨论了资本不再稀缺后,价值观和品位会成为基金的差异。
Radical Numerics 联合创始人兼 CEO Eric Nguyen 认为,提升生物能力的模型同样能用于防御,主张更激进地推进前沿。其团队开发的 Evo、Evo 2 基因组语言模型曾被 Arc Institute/Stanford 团队用于生成完整噬菌体基因组并合成出功能性病毒。
Gary Marcus 公开致信特朗普,建议其在与中国领导人的 AI 会谈中放弃"放缓"路线,转而推动美中合作,领域包括癌症与网络安全,类似冷战时期美苏在太空和天花上的合作。他援引《人民日报》文章称美中应"让 AI 成为中美合作新前沿"并利用政府间 AI 对话机制,认为中国实际上渴望合作。
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman 在联合国安理会发表讲话,讨论 AI 安全、人类控制和国际合作三个主题。
Gary Marcus 撰文称 Meta 新智能体 Muse 正在重复 Facebook 2015 年 Project M 的做法,如餐厅订位、代订票务等。Project M 因运行成本高只开放给约 1 万用户,后被曝幕后有真人参与,AI 实际处理的请求不超过 30%,于 2018 年 1 月在上线不到三年后取消。作者还批评扎克伯格在隐私问题上的态度,认为他在重犯当年的错误。
Latent Space 发布对 John Platt 的访谈,介绍其团队在 Google 开发的 Empirical Research Assistance(ERA)。
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
推荐理由:作者亲测对比两个模型移植 HAProxy 的耗时与成本,给出了具体数字供选型参考。
Interconnects 播客中,Nathan Lambert 与 Epoch AI Insights 负责人 Jean-Stanislas Denain 讨论多项议题。
针对今夏一系列 AI 炒作事件,DAIR 执行总监 Timnit Gebru 指出,Anthropic 与 OpenAI 宣称的漏洞发现、数学突破等成果在专家核查后均大幅缩水,OpenAI 的数学成果还被数学家指控剽窃他人工作。她认为"超级智能"叙事源于超人类主义等意识形态,把智能体说成"失控模型"实为帮企业逃避责任,呼吁政策制定者听取独立专家意见、不要依赖新闻稿。
OpenAI 阐述了针对前沿模型与防护措施的第三方 AI 安全评估的优先事项与原则,强调评估应严谨、安全且独立。
Latent Space 播客专访 TypeSafe AI CEO Diogo Almeida,介绍其新发布的 System One 模型 Jev,目标是面向软件而非聊天、优化每美元智能。
如果你在用 AI 构建产品,你应该花超过 25% 的时间做基准测试,并努力让模型实验室关注这些基准测试 这是加速公司进展的最简单路径
Gary Marcus 在 UNGA 数字合作活动中发表演讲,与 Yoshua Bengio 和诺贝尔奖得主 Maria Ressa 同场。他反对零监管和末日论两个极端,主张近期风险是深度伪造虚假信息、不可靠 AI 系统窃取凭证和发起网络攻击,提出建立国际咨询委员会做事前评估与事后审计、禁止部署明显有害架构、限制无限制联网的 AI 智能体。
I had the great honor and pleasure of sitting down with @JeffDean for his first public talk since leaving Google, where he spent an extraordinary 27 years. Few people have shaped modern computing and AI as profoundly - from MapReduce and Bigtable to TensorFlow, Mixture-of-Experts, TPUs, and Gemini. Our conversation covered some of the biggest questions shaping the future of AI: • How do you recognize a foundational idea before everyone else does? • How do you choose a research problem worth spending 5 years on? • What can coding teach us about building better reasoning models? • What might recursive self-improvement (RSI) actually look like? • What happens when the scientific discovery loop itself becomes increasingly automated? (and how is Jeff’s new startup going to contribute in this space?) • As AI becomes increasingly autonomous, how do we keep it safe and secure? • What should the next generation of researchers be working on? Here are some key insights and highlights for anyone building the future of AI. 🧵1/8
这份跨党派的人类主义 AI 宣言中有很多非常好的提议。仍有一些值得我们讨论,但总体上是正确方向。我鼓励大家都去看一看。
I'm delighted to share that @mustafasuleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI, co-founder of Google DeepMind and Inflection AI, has signed the Pro-Human AI Declaration. If you too support it, please join him and over a million others by signing it here – the momentum is building! Let's build tools not beings & keep humans in charge. https://humanstatement.org
真格基金投资人刘元与 GPT 进行了一小时对话,探讨 AI 能否成为优秀 VC。GPT 称在信息分析整理上能比人更快更全面,但做决定未必更强,并坦言自己没有恐惧因而也没有勇敢。刘元认为人类长处恰来自缺陷,早期投资人的乐观与非理性是 AI 难以拥有的,创业者精神比智力与背景更重要。
十字路口播客访谈清华交叉信息研究院助理教授徐梦迪,主题是其持续押注的机器人 In-Context Learning,即让机器人通过一两次交互在新环境当场学会新任务。
清华叉院助理教授徐梦迪在播客对谈中提出,机器人应通过 in-context learning(ICL)在新环境中经一两次交互当场学会新任务,且越学越快。她认为机器人仍处 GPT-1 阶段,低 Loss 不等于高成功率,具身领域进步与泡沫共存。
大体同意。一些实际启示: (1) 优先做能用新数据定期更新的分析 (2) 公开地做研究(根据新证据修正自己的观点) (3) 承认不确定性;做出可证伪的预测 (4) 真诚且谦逊
A few (personal) thoughts on reading empirical AI papers on the economy. Economists have gotten used to reading papers with super clean identification, arguing about the validity of an instrument, making sure parallel trend assumptions are satisfied. This is what gets you into a top journal, and it is *very* important research (no question here). But it also takes years and sometimes decades to get these types of papers right---people often don't find a good instrument to answer a specific causal question decades after the natural experiment. We will eventually have this type of research for AI as well, and it is absolutely necessary. But right we also need signals *right now*, even if they are noisier than what we are used to. We need papers where we can trust that researchers did their best methodologically, while at the same time acknowledging that the space is moving way too fast to wait for perfect identification. This will allow us to accumulate enough signals, coming at the same question using different angles, for example, to say "yes, X is likely happening in the economy". The AI exposure and early career hiring papers are a good example of this. There is no silver bullet paper with super clean identification. But at this point we have several independent teams reaching the same general conclusion, enough where we can say "there seems to be a slow down in AI-exposed, early career hiring."
峰瑞资本李丰撰文判断,美欧日9月同向加息后全球流动性接近见顶,本轮美元驱动的AI金融周期进入存量博弈尾部,AI技术投资正从投最具想象力的应用转向投能赚钱的方向。文中列举巨头资本开支受市场惩罚、美国数据中心项目大面积取消或延迟、英伟达以租代买等五个资本开支转折信号,并认为拐点后机会在中国AI+应用、生物医疗与AI交叉以及SaaS的AI化等方向。
推荐理由:作者以全球流动性和资本开支信号梳理AI周期位置,并给出向AI应用与低估资产转向的判断视角。
29 岁的车昊轩创办 XGEN,提出 interactive experience model(主观体验模型)与 generative world simulation(生成式世界模拟),用 World State 与 Render 分层架构分离训练,聚焦长程一致,让世界运行几十分钟后角色、状态与因果仍自洽。
Nathan Lambert 撰文认为真正的递归自我改进(RSI)尚未到来,当前的自动化加速集中在软件工程、日志监控、实验管理等可验证任务,主张以 lossy self-improvement 作为进展基线。
Gary Marcus 发文列举 Dario Amodei 一周内三次损害自身公信力的做法:其呼吁 AI 行业“pace the frontier”后,却选择与 Anthropic 关系密切的 METR 和已有业务往来的 Accenture 作为外部监督方;同时 Anthropic 正筹建湿实验室,且据称缺乏常规机构审查委员会监督。
Gary Marcus 指出,特朗普出于经济考量淡化 AI 风险并抵制监管,这可能是个坏主意。他称自己曾在美国参议院警告,AI 生成的不准确信息可能导致意外战争,而这一风险如今已经出现,下次未必还能侥幸。
OpenAI's Noam Brown says air-gapping the computers may not stop a misaligned AI, because two air-gapped machines can still talk by running a CPU hot and reading the temperature change "But I think the major takeaway from the incident is that people underestimated the AI. And we never want to be in a situation again where we underestimate the AI. It's a weird world, because AI progress is so fast that people are consistently underestimating the AI." "So to be in a situation where you don't underestimate it again, when it comes to safety and alignment, you have to have a very, very, very high bar." "You could even go as far as to say, "Well, we should air gap the computers." And I'm not convinced that that would be sufficient." "There are studies, and this is mostly academic, where you can have two computers next to each other that are air-gapped and they're still able to communicate with each other because they have temperature sensors." "One of them is able to run their CPU really hot, and then the other one can actually detect the temperature change, and then that actually gives them a mechanism to communicate." _________ Link and more key quotes from OpenAI's safety related conversations: https://firesidealpha.substack.com/p/openai-safety-week-sam-altman-sarah
Gary Marcus 指出,近期真正值得警惕的不是失控的超级智能,而是失控的智能体 AI 大规模发动互联网攻击。他援引 WSJ Opinion 一篇由 Brian Gross 撰写的文章,称其是少数梳理出这一整体图景的主流媒体之一,并表示完全认同其中观点。